COLLEGE FOOTBALL FORECAST OCT 22-25

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Wednesday, October 22nd

VIRGINIA TECH (6-0 SU/4-1 ATS)
at WEST VIRGINIA (2-4 SU/2-4 ATS)
3rd-ranked Va Tech had a bye last week and in their last game two weeks ago they pounded Syracuse 51-7 as -17½ point home favorites. QB Bryan Randall threw for just 88 yards on 6-of-14 passing, but rushed for a 75-yard score and finished with 93 yards on the ground in less than three quarters of play. RB Kevin Jones added 131 yards and two touchdowns on 19 carries and DeAngelo Hall returned two punts for scores in the first quarter for the Hokies, who won their first six games for the fifth straight season. When it was all said and done, Tech held edges in total "O" (439-172), first downs (18-6) and rushing yards (337-81). West Virginia also had a bye last week and is coming off a 34-19 home win over Rutgers as -18 point favorites. QB Rasheed Marshall completed 7-of-15 passes for 186 yards and RB Quincy Wilson ran for 177 yards and three touchdowns in the non-cover win. WV dominated the game with edges in total "O" (430-279) and first downs (20-15). Va Tech comes in 11-4-1 ATS the last 15 meetings with WV, including 6-3 the last nine. The Hokies are 3-1 ATS at WV, including 2 shutouts. This is a revenger for Va Tech, who lost 21-18 last season as -7½ point favorites. WV comes in 2-6 ATS as a home dog, but are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 games. Opinion: Virginia Tech -13

Thursday, October 23rd

MARYLAND (5-2 SU/2-4 ATS)
at GEORGIA TECH (4-3 SU/4-2-1 ATS)
Maryland had a bye last week after posting a 33-20 win over Duke two weeks ago as -28 point home chalks. QB Scott McBrien completed 18-of-32 passes for 238 yards and a touchdown, while Josh Allen and Bruce Perry each rushed for 36 yards. Perry also ran for a score, helping the Terrapins record their fifth straight win of the season after starting out the 2003 campaign 0-2. It was a lethargic effort for Maryland as they were outgained in total "O" 392-370 and had deficits in first downs (23-19) and time of possession (36:10 to 23:50). Georgia Tech also had last week off after an impressive 24-7 win at Wake Forest as +3½ point underdogs the previous week. QB Reggie Ball completed 12-of-24 passes for 225 yards and two TD's as Tech won its third consecutive game. RB P.J. Daniels had a good day with 175 yards and a touchdown on 33 carries. It was a dominant effort by the Jackets who held edges in total "O" (429-272), first downs (23-12) and time of possession (33:47 to 26:13). Offensively, Maryland ranks 58th in the land with a 379 ypg average, while Tech ranks 100th with a 310 ypg average. Defensively, it’s a little closer as Maryland comes in ranked 14th in the land in total "D", allowing 294 ypg, while Ga Tech ranks 26th, allowing 323 ypg. Maryland is 5-2 ATS the last seven meetings with Ga Tech and are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 appearances on Thursday Night Football. Last year, the Terps won 34-10 as -2 point home chalks. Ga Tech has not fared well after a bye, going just 7-15 ATS the week after a break. However, Maryland has not been a team to back on the road lately as they are 0-4 ATS in their last four road games. In addition, the Ramblin' Wreck is 10-2 ATS as a home 'dog of +1½ or more points when coming off two straight wins. Tech has beaten Auburn and NC State at home this season and are off that upset of Wake Forest last week. Have to side with Georgia Tech in this one.
SELECTION: GEORGIA TECH +2½

Saturday, October 25th

RUTGERS (3-4 SU/7-0 ATS)
at TEMPLE (1-6 SU/4-2 ATS)
Rutgers covered again last week (now 7-0 ATS) in a 42-32 home loss to Pitt as +16½ point underdogs. Rutgers fullback Brian Leonard scored four touchdowns, while QB Ryan Hart completed 24-of-52 passes for 384 yards with four touchdowns and two interceptions. The Scarlet Knights, who fell for the third time in as many games, outgained Pitt in total "O" 516-494. Temple was pounded last week in a 52-14 loss at 2nd-ranked Miami-Fla last week as +32½ point underdogs. QB Mike McGann completed 5-of-11 passes for just 21 yards and RB Jamil Porter rushed for 84 yards and two touchdowns for the Owls, who have lost 12 straight to the Hurricanes. Temple was dominated in the game with deficits in total "O" (601-171), first downs (28-6) and time of possession (38:03 to 21:57). Offensively, Rutgers comes in ranked 61st in the land in total "O" with a 374 ypg average, while Temple counters with the 75th rated "O", averaging 352 ypg. On defense, Rutgers comes in ranked 97th, allowing 425 ypg, while the Owls rank 110th, allowing 461 ypg. Note that Temple has allowed an average of 560 ypg in their last three outings. The home team in this series is 6-1 ATS the last seven meetings and Rutgers comes in 0-3 ATS the last three trips to Temple, losing by an average score of 45-13. Last year Temple won at Rutgers 20-17, but did not cover as -7½ point favorites. However, it is hard to fathom the fact that Temple, with only one win this season, is favored in this game. Rutgers trailed Pitt last week 42-7 at one point, but showed their ability on offense as they outscored Pitt 25-0 the rest of the way. At 7-0 ATS on the season, Rutgers seems the logical choice here.
SELECTION: RUTGERS +5

NORTH CAROLINA (1-6 SU/5-2 ATS)
at CLEMSON (4-3 SU/4-2 ATS)
North Carolina hung tough last week in a 33-31 home loss to Arizona State as +7 point underdogs. QB Darian Durant was 13-of-23 passing for 167 yards with one touchdown in the loss. Jarwarski Pollock was the leading receiver for North Carolina with four catches for 98 yards. Despite the close score, Arizona State dominated Carolina with edges in total "O" (603-320) and first downs (29-18). Clemson is off a tough 17-15 road loss at NC State last Thursday Night as +5 point underdogs. QB Charlie Whitehurst completed 23-of-37 passes for 196 yards and an interception. WR Kevin Youngblood caught five balls for 47 yards, while RB Duane Coleman led the ground attack with 51 yards on 11 carries. Clemson outgained NC State in total "O" 323-283 and held a 127-70 edge in rushing. Offensively, North Carolina comes in ranked 60th in the nation, averaging 377 ypg, while Clemson ranks 55th, with a 383 ypg average. On defense, it's a different story though, as the Tar Heels rank almost dead last in the nation (116th), allowing 498 ypg, while the Clemson "D" has been solid, ranking 22nd in the nation with a 322 ypg average. North Carolina won't be able to run the ball on that Clemson "D”, which allowed 45, 53, and 70 yards rushing to Georgia Tech, Virginia and NC State, respectively. The favorite in this series is an impressive 12-4-1 ATS the last 17 meetings and the SU winner is 15-2-1 ATS as well. Clemson is just 2-5 ATS the last seven meetings, but won last year 42-12 as -10 point road chalks. Cannot recommend anything but Clemson in this one. Lay the points.
SELECTION: CLEMSON -13

IOWA STATE (2-5 SU/1-5 ATS)
at NEBRASKA (6-1 SU/4-3 ATS)
The Cyclones continued to reel last week in a 40-21 home loss to Texas as +19 point underdogs. QB Cris Love was 6-for-16 for 49 yards for the Iowa State, who lost their fifth straight matchup against the Longhorns. Their other QB Austin Flynn connected on 5-of-18 passes for 123 yards and a score, and also ran for 43 yards and two two-point conversions, as Iowa State lost their fifth straight game. The Cyclones were dominated in the game with deficits in total "O" (578-277), first downs (28-16) and time of possession (37:26 to 22:34). 11th-ranked Nebraska bounced back from their loss at Missouri two weeks ago with a resounding 48-12 home win over Texas A&M as -10 point chalks. QB Jammal Lord rushed for 109 yards and two touchdowns and David Horne and Josh Davis each added a rushing touchdown for the Cornhuskers, who were off a 41-24 loss at Missouri. Nebraska held edges in total "O" (384-244), first downs (21-15) and time of possession (33:59 to 26:01). Iowa State comes in ranked 78th in the nation in total "O" with a 351 ypg average, while Nebraska ranks 69th (363 ypg). But that shouldn't matter much because this game will be decided by the defenses. Iowa State ranks a paltry 108th in the land in total "D", yielding 458 ypg, while Nebraska sports the nation's 2nd ranked stop unit, allowing just 255 ypg. Nebraska also ranks number-one in the nation in turnover margin. Iowa State has not fared well against Nebraska, going 2-13 SU and 5-9-1 ATS the last 15 meetings. Iowa State has been outscored 170-14 in the first half alone in the last four visits to Lincoln. The home team in this series is 9-2 ATS the last 11 meetings and the 'Huskers are playing with revenge after last years 36-14 loss at Iowa State as +1 point dogs, the first loss to the Cyclones since 1992. Nebraska, with revenge, should roll in this one. Lay the points.
SELECTION: NEBRASKA -23½

USC (6-1 SU/5-2 ATS)
at WASHINGTON (4-3 SU/2-4-1 ATS)
The 5th-ranked Trojans are off a 45-14 dismantling of Notre Dame as -8½ point road chalks. QB Matt Leinart completed 26-of-34 passes for a career-high 351 yards and four touchdowns. The Trojans, who beat Notre Dame, 44-13 at the Coliseum last year, earned their first win in South Bend since 1997. The USC offense gained 340 yards in the opening half and carried a 28-14 lead into the locker room. When it was all said and done, USC held edges in total "O" (554-277) and first downs (29-17). Washington pulled the upset last week in a 38-17 win at 22nd-ranked Oregon State as +10 point underdogs. QB Cody Pickett completed 19-of-40 passes for 285 yards and three touchdowns for the Huskies, who snapped a two-game slide and beat Oregon State for the 25th time in the last 27 meetings. Charles Frederick finished with 101 yards on four punt returns, 54 yards on three kickoff returns and caught nine passes for 216 yards to set a school record with 371 all-purpose yards. Washington was outgained in total "O" 390-374, but capitalized on four Oregon State turnovers (1 fumble, 3 interceptions). USC enters this one with the 26th rated "O" in the land with a 426 ypg average, while the Huskies rank 42nd with a 404 ypg average. On defense, USC ranks 35th (334 ypg), while Washington ranks 30th (328 ypg). USC ranks 12th in the nation in turnover margin, while Washington ranks 90th in the land. USC is 7-3 ATS the last ten meetings with the Huskies and 14-5 ATS when playing on artificial turf against conference foes. Washington comes in on a current 4-11-1 ATS run in their last 16 games over all. The 'dog in this series is 12-4-1 the last 17 meetings. However, the Trojans won last year 41-21 as -7½ point home favorites. USC has a very balanced offensive attack (average 208 rush yards and 315 pass yards last two weeks) and should continue to keep rolling in this one. Can't read too much into Washington's win at Oregon State last week as the Beavers basically self-destructed.
SELECTION: USC -10

TROY STATE (4-3 SU/3-2 ATS)
at VIRGINIA (4-3 SU/4-3 ATS)
Troy State is off a 21-10 win over Florida-International last week in a non-lined affair. The Trojans were led by RB DeWhitt Betterson's 157 yards on 34 carries, both career highs. Troy State rolled up 424 yards total offense and 204 yards on the ground while picking up 21 first downs, 12 of which were on the ground. QB Aaron Leak passed for 220 yards, completing 12 of 22 attempts and tossing one interception. Leak's 22 pass attempts and 12 completions both marked career highs as well. Leak also rushed for 44 yards on 15 carries. Virginia dropped a tough 19-14 home decision to Florida State last week but covered as +8½ point underdogs. QB Matt Schaub completed 39-of-53 passes for 326 yards and two touchdowns for the Cavaliers, who were hampered by two turnovers and a key miscue on third down late in the game. Virginia had deficits in total "O" (385-321), first downs (18-17) and time of possession (37:12 to 22:48). Offensively, Troy State ranks a mere 104th in the nation (298 ypg), while the Cavs come in ranked 65th with a 369 ypg average. Defensively, Troy State has an edge as they rank 49th in the country, allowing 356 ypg, which is not bad considering they have faced the likes of Kansas State, Minnesota, UAB, Marshall and Nebraska. In contrast, Virginia ranks 70th in the nation in defense, allowing 376 ypg. Troy State owns wins over UAB and Marshall this season and are 6-3 ATS in their last 9 lined games. Virginia counters with a 5-0 SU and 4-1 ATS mark when facing 1-A Independents and are also 17-8 ATS off a loss, but they could be a little "flat" in this game, coming off Florida State last week. Take the points.
SELECTION: TROY STATE +22

OTHER GAMES OF INTEREST

Saturday, October 25th

SYRACUSE (4-2 SU/3-3 ATS)
at PITTSBURGH (4-2 SU/2-4 ATS)
Syracuse bounced back last week with a convincing 39-14 home won over Boston College as +4 point underdogs. QB R.J. Anderson completed 20-of-27 passes for 215 yards, three touchdowns and ran for another to lead the Orangemen to the win. Syracuse held a 407-319 edge in total "O", as well as first downs (24-16) and time of possession (34:20 to 25:40). Pitt is off an unimpressive 42-32 win at Rutgers, failing to cover as -16½ point favorites. QB Rod Rutherford completed 22-of-38 passes for 381 yards and three TD's and ran for a fourth in leading the Panthers to the win. WR Larry Fitzgerald had 207 yards receiving on eight catches for Pitt, while Kris Wilson caught nine balls for 110 yards. Though Pitt dominated the game early and registered a double-digit win, the Panthers were outgained in total "O" 516-494. Syracuse is an impressive 19-8 ATS the last 27 meetings with Pitt and 6-0 ATS the last six trips to Pittsburgh. Pitt won last years game 48-24 at Syracuse as +2 point underdogs.

PURDUE (6-1 SU/6-1 ATS)
at MICHIGAN (6-2 SU/4-3-1 ATS)
10th-ranked Purdue is off a tough 26-23 win at Wisconsin last week as -2½ point favorites. QB Kyle Orton had a great day, completing 38-of-55 passes for 411 yards and a touchdown. Taylor Stubblefield caught 16 passes for 130 yards and a score, while John Standeford added 14 catches for 184 yards. The Boilermakers dominated the game with edges in total "O" (477-293), first downs (27-12) and time of possession (36:24 to 23:36). 15th-ranked Michigan pounded Illinois last week in a 56-14 romper as -27 point home favorites. QB John Navarre finished 18-of-27 for 203 yards and a touchdown, while RB Chris Perry rushed 24 times for 140 yards and three touchdowns in the win for the Wolves, who have now won two straight since losing at Iowa on October 4th. Michigan dominated the game with edges in total "O" (519-252), first downs (30-13) and rushing yards (275-89). Purdue is only 2-11 SU against Michigan, but 8-5 ATS. The Boilers also come in a dismal 1-7 ATS in the second of back-to-back road affairs. Michigan is 10-0 SU and 7-3 ATS when hosting Purdue. Last year Michigan won 23-21 at Purdue, but failed to cover as -3½ point road chalks.

OHIO STATE (6-1 SU/2-4-1 ATS)
at INDIANA (1-6 SU/1-4-1 ATS)
The 8th-ranked Buckeyes rebounded last week with a 19-10 home win over 9th-ranked Iowa as -3 point favorites. In a game dominated by special teams and defense, QB Craig Krenzel was Ohio State's leading rusher with 20 yards on 14 carries. He also completed 11-of-22 passes for 129 yards, as the Buckeyes bounced back from their loss at Wisconsin the previous week and won for the 20th time in their last 21 games. Ohio State only had 158 yards of total "O", while allowing Iowa 214 yards. Indiana is off a bye week after dropping a 37-31 OT decision at home to Northwestern two weeks ago as +3½ point 'dogs. QB Matt LoVecchio completed 13-of-20 passes for 204 yards, but threw two interceptions, while RB back BenJarvus Green-Ellis ran for 136 yards and three touchdowns on 25 carries. Brian Lewis added to the Hoosier ground attack with 128 yards and a score on 21 carries. Indiana came up short despite holding edges in total "O" (526-390), first downs (27-21) and rushing yards (327-192). Ohio State is 1-5 ATS in the first of back-to-back road affairs, but the visitor in this series is 8-2-1 ATS the last 11 meetings. Indiana is a mere 7-18 ATS in their last 25 games as a conference home 'dog. Ohio State won last years meeting 45-17 as -25½ point home favorites.

WISCONSIN (6-2 SU/4-4 ATS)
at NORTHWESTERN (3-4 SU/4-2-1 ATS)
Wisky suffered a let-down last week in a 26-23 home loss to Purdue as +2½ point underdogs. QB Jim Sorgi left the game in the third quarter with a left knee injury, one week after he was choked by Ohio State linebacker Robert Reynolds in the Badgers' 17-10 win over the defending national champion Buckeyes. Sorgi, who was helped off the field in this one, also left last week's contest. He was 6-of-9 for 118 yards and an interception before leaving. Backup Matt Schabert was 5-of-9 for 78 yards in his place. The Badgers were outplayed in every facet of the game with deficits in total "O" (477-293), first downs (27-12) and time of possession (36:24 to 23:36). Northwestern had a bye last week after posting a 37-31 OT win at Indiana two weeks ago as -3½ point underdogs. QB Brett Basanez completed 13-of-20 passes for 191 yards and a TD and RB Jason Wright carried the ball 32 times for 141 yards for the Wildcats. Northwestern came away with the win despite having deficits in total "O" (526-390), first downs (27-21) and rushing yards (327-192). Wisky is just 1-5 ATS the last six meetings with NW, but come in 8-2 ATS the week before a bye. The home team in this series is 10-3 ATS and NW comes in 8-2 ATS the week after a bye.

MINNESOTA (6-2 SU/5-2-1 ATS)
at ILLINOIS (1-7 SU/1-6 ATS)
Minnesota dropped their second straight game last week as they fell to Michigan State in a 44-38 home loss as -7 point favorites. QB Asad Abdul-Khaliq threw for 377 yards on 27-of-40 passing with four touchdowns, but had a costly fumble for Minnesota, which couldn't rebound after losing a heartbreaking 38-35 game to Michigan the previous week. The Gophers gave up 31 fourth quarter points in that loss. Minnesota lost despite holding edges in total "O" (525-413) and first downs (29-23). Illinois is coming off a 56-14 loss at Michigan last week as +27 point road underdogs. Illinois, which has lost six in a row, played without starting quarterback Jon Beutjer, who has been bothered by persistent back pain for the past couple of weeks. He is also expected to miss this week's game. Chris Pazan filled in and was 11-of-23 for 100 yards and an interception for Illinois, while Mark Kornfeld had five receptions for 77 yards. The Fightin' Illini were totally outplayed in the game with deficits in total "O" (519-252), first downs (30-13) and rushing yards (275-89). Minny is 6-3 ATS the last nine meetings with Illinois, but are just 1-7 SU and 2-6 ATS the last 8 meetings in Champaign. The Gophers won last years meeting 31-10 as -3½ point chalks.

WAKE FOREST (4-3 SU/4-3 ATS)
at FLORIDA STATE (6-1 SU/4-3 ATS)
Wake Forest returned to form last week in a 42-13 rout over Duke as -10 point road chalks. RB Chris Barclay rushed for 163 yards and three touchdowns to help Wake Forest snap a two-game skid. Wake Forest blew the game open with 28 unanswered points in the second quarter, resulting in a commanding 42-0 halftime lead. The Demon Deacons were outgained in total yards 386-334, but had a 256-119 edge in rushing. Florida State comes off a tough 19-14 win at Virginia last week as -8½ point road chalks. QB Chris Rix completed 12-of-25 passes for 189 yards and Xavier Beitia kicked four field goals in the win for the 'Noles. The win gave head coach Bobby Bowden his 338th career victory. Bowden is now tied with Penn State's Joe Paterno for most Division I-A coaching victories. Florida State held edges in total "O" (385-321), first downs (18-17) and a significant edge in time of possession (37:12 to 22:48). Wake is 2-5 ATS in the second of back-to-back road affairs, but are 4-1 ATS the last five meetings with the Seminoles, although they have been outscored by an average score of 45-11 the last 11 meetings with Florida State. The 'Noles won last years meeting 34-21 as -10 point road favorites.

VANDERBILT (1-7 SU/2-4-1 ATS)
at SOUTH CAROLINA (4-3 SU/3-4 ATS)
Vandy is off a 27-8 home loss to 4th-ranked Georgia last week, but covered as +26½ point underdogs. QB Jay Cutler completed 10-of-17 passes for 86 yards with a touchdown and one interception for the Commodores. Cutler also ran for 64 yards on 15 attempts and Norval McKenzie added 34 yards on 15 carries. Matthew Tant caught two balls for 35 yards and a score, as Vanderbilt lost its sixth straight game. Vandy actually led at halftime 2-0, but got outscored 27-6 in the second half. The 'Dores were outgained in total "O" 343-218. Vandy has yet to beat a Division I-A team in 2003, with its lone victory coming against I-AA Chattanooga. The Gamecocks did not look good last week in a 33-7 home loss to LSU as +5 point underdogs. QB Dondrial Pinkins completed 15-of-32 attempts for 254 yards and a touchdown pass for the Gamecocks, who fell 4-3 on the season. It was a poor showing for SC as they had deficits in total "O" (486-272), first downs (29-10) and time of possession ( 41:43 to 18:17). Vanderbilt is 2-9 SU and ATS the last 11 meetings with SC and 0-5 ATS the last five visits to Columbia and come in 3-10-1 ATS the week before a bye. SC is 7-3 ATS in their last 10 homecoming games and won last years meeting 20-14 as -9 point road chalks.

OHIO (2-5 SU/2-4 ATS)
at BUFFALO (0-8 SU/2-5 ATS)
Ohio is off a 35-14 loss at Kentucky last week as +13 point underdogs. QB Austen Everson had a turbulent night for the Bobcats as he completed 10-of-18 passes for 147 yards and a score, while being sacked twice and intercepted one time in the loss, the teams fifth in the last six outings. Ohio was outgained in total "O" 322-295 and turned the ball over three times in the loss (2 fumbles, one interception). Buffalo is off another loss last week as they fell to Marshall 26-16, but covered as +26 point home underdogs. Buffalo lost its 18th game in a row, which is the longest losing streak in the nation. The Bulls were guided by P.J. Piskorik, who finished 15-of-23 through the air for 140 yards with a touchdown and an interception. Buffalo hung tough, but still had deficits in total "O" (386-279) and first downs (22-15). Ohio is 4-1 SU but only 1-4 ATS the last five meetings with Buffalo. Ohio won last years meeting 34-32 as -8 point home favorites and their last visit to Buffalo resulted in a 44-0 loss as -15½ point road chalks.

NC STATE (5-3 SU/2-5 ATS)
at DUKE (2-5 SU/1-5 ATS)
NC State comes in off a hard-fought 17-15 home win as -5 point favorites in an ESPN Thursday Nighter. QB Philip Rivers completed 20-of-34 pass attempts for 213 yards and two TD's, while WR Richard Washington had six receptions for 76 yards in the winning effort. RB T.A. McLendon added five receptions for 22 yards and a score, while rushing for 60 yards on 19 carries. NC State was outgained in total "O" 323-283 in the game. Duke comes off a 42-13 home loss to Wake Forest as +10 point underdogs. QB Mike Schneider completed 17-of-38 passes for 194 yards and added 42 yards and a touchdown on the ground. Duke actually outgained the Demon Deacons 386-334 in total yards, but committed two turnovers and surrendered 256 rushing yards on defense. NC State is only 1-8 ATS as a road favorite, but the visitor in this series is 8-1 ATS the last nine meetings. NC State won last years meeting 24-22 as -23 point home favorites.

UAB (3-4 SU/3-4 ATS)
at GEORGIA (6-1 SU/4-3 ATS)
UAB is off a tough 27-24 loss at TCU last week as +12 point underdogs. QB Darrell Hackney completed 8-of-19 passes for 262 yards and a touchdown with an interception. He also added 58 yards on the ground on five carries. UAB was outgained in total "O" 405-393 and had deficits in first downs (23-14) and time of possession (34:38 to 25:22). 4th-ranked Georgia struggled last week in a 27-8 win at Vanderbilt as -26½ point favorites. QB David Greene threw for 208 yards and Michael Cooper ran for 93 yards and a score for Georgia, which trailed 2-0 at halftime. Tyson Browning chipped in with 56 yards rushing and a score on eight attempts and Bryan McClendon led all receivers with 108 yards on six catches for the Bulldogs, who won their third straight SEC game. Georgia outgained Vandy in total "O" 343-218. UAB is 9-3 ATS as a double-digit road underdog, but 2-4 ATS in the second of back-to-back road affairs. Georgia is just 2-6 ATS versus Conference USA teams and only 7-14 ATS in their last 21 homecoming games.

MARSHALL (4-3 SU/2-4 ATS)
at W MICHIGAN (3-4 SU/3-3 ATS)
Marshall couldn't cover the big number last week in a 26-16 win at Buffalo as -26 point road chalks. QB Stan Hill completed 26-of-42 passes for 292 yards and one TD and ran for another for Marshall, which has won three of its last four games. RB Earl Charles rushed for 112 yards and two touchdowns in the lackluster win for the Thundering Herd, who had edges in total "O" (386-279) and first downs (22-15). Western Michigan was humbled last week in a 37-10 loss at Northern Illinois as +11½ point dogs. QB Chad Munson threw for 216 yards and a touchdown on 16-of-31 passing for the Broncos, who lost their second in a row overall and their third straight to the Huskies after a six-game series win streak. It was a poor showing for the Broncos who had deficits in total "O" (514-227), first downs (29-11) and time of possession (39:02 to 20:58). Northern Illinois also dominated the rushing game, gaining 227 yards on the ground. Western Michigan wound up with minus-2 net rushing yards. Marshall is 2-6 ATS in the second game of back-to-back road affairs, while the underdog is 3-1 ATS the last four meetings between these two teams. Western Michigan hasn't forgotten two recent losses at Marshall, both in the MAC Championship.

TEXAS TECH (5-2 SU/6-1 ATS)
at MISSOURI (5-2 SU/4-2 ATS)
The Red Raiders are off a wild 51-49 loss at Oklahoma State last week, but covered as +5 point underdogs. QB B.J. Symons had another great game, throwing for 552 yards and five touchdowns on 42-of-67 passing. He was picked off twice. Wes Welker and Nehemiah Glover each had a pair of TD receptions in the loss for the Red Raiders, who had a three-game winning streak snapped. Tech was outgained in total "O" by a slight margin (673-661) but held a 38-29 edge in first downs. Tech trailed 48-21 heading into the 4th quarter, but outscored the Cowboys 28-3 to get the cover. Mizzou comes in off a 34-13 loss at Oklahoma last week, but covered as +26½ point underdogs. QB Brad Smith went 15-of-31 for 180 yards with an interception for the Tigers, who were coming off a 41-24 upset win over Nebraska the previous week. Smith also carried the ball 14 times for 50 yards with a touchdown. Missouri didn't stand much of a chance at the outright win as they had deficits in total "O" (424-266), first downs (20-14) and return yards (121-24). The home team in this series is 3-1 SU and ATS. Mizzou comes in 6-3 ATS in the first game of back-to-back home games. Tech won last years meeting 52-38 as -6½ point home favorites.

TOLEDO (5-2 SU/4-2 ATS)
at BALL STATE (3-4 SU/3-3 ATS)
Toledo is coming off a 31-13 win at Central Michigan last week as -15 point road chalks. RB's Trinity Dawson and Astin Martin combined for 266 rushing yards and four touchdowns to lead the Toledo in the win. Dawson carried 26 times for 165 yards and a touchdown, while Martin racked up 101 yards and three TD's on 16 carries. QB Bruce Gradkowski also had a good day, completing 21-of-34 pass attempts for 219 yards with no interceptions. Toledo dominated the game with edges in total "O" (643-313), first downs (35-15) and time of possession (38:46 to 21:14). Ball State was pounded at home last week in a 49-3 loss to Miami-Ohio as +19 point underdogs. The Ball State passing combination of Talmadge Hill and Andy Roesch finished the game 12-of-30 for 153 yards, were sacked three times and intercepted four times, with a pair of those picks being returned for scores. Ball State was dominated in the game with deficits in total "O" (403-182), first downs (25-10) and time of possession (34:39 to 25:21). Toledo is 7-4 ATS the last 11 meetings with the Cardinals and 5-2 ATS the last seven trips to Muncie. Ball State lost last years meeting at Toledo, 37-17 as +18 point road dogs.

MIAMI-OHIO (6-1 SU/5-2 ATS)
at KENT STATE (3-5 SU/5-2 ATS)
Miami-Ohio annihilated Ball State last week in a 49-3 road win as -19 point favorites. QB Ben Roethlisberger completed 23-of-31 for 215 yards and two scores, as the RedHawks won their sixth straight game by scoring 35 unanswered points to start the contest. Miami-Ohio dominated the game with edges in total "O" (403-182), first downs (25-10) and time of possession (34:39 to 25:21). Kent State hung tough last week in a 34-31 home loss to Connecticut as +13 point underdogs. QB Joshua Cribbs completed only 11-of-26 for 204 yards and was sacked four times, but he did toss a touchdown and led the team in rushing with 38 yards and a pair of scores on 21 attempts in the losing effort, the teams third in a row. Kent State was outgained in total "O" 515-319 and was held to just 3-of-13 on third down in the loss. Kent State was looking for its first win over a Division I-A non-conference opponents since September of 1987 when they Flashes beat Akron, five years prior to joining the MAC. Miami-Ohio is 12-1 SU and 8-5 ATS the last 13 meetings with Kent, winning by an average score of 35-12. Kent is 2-4 ATS the week before a bye and lost at Miami last year in a 27-20 setback, but covered as +11 point dogs.

PENN STATE (2-5 SU/1-6 ATS)
at IOWA (5-2 SU/5-2 ATS)
Penn State is off a bye week after dropping a 28-14 decision at Purdue as +11½ point road underdogs two weeks ago. QB Michael Robinson was just 10-of-32 for 98 yards with one touchdown pass and two interceptions for the Nittany Lions, who have dropped three straight games. Penn State lost its first three conference games for only the second time in its 11 years in the Big Ten. It was a poor display for the Lions, who were outgained in total "O" 350-204 and had deficits in first downs (19-13) and time of possession (37:24 to 22:36). 13th-ranked Iowa dropped a 19-10 decision at Ohio State last week as +3 point underdogs. QB Nate Chandler completed 14-of-27 passes for 153 yards and rushing for 25 yards on 10 carries, while RB Fred Russell led the Hawkeye ground game with 42 yards on 22 carries. It was a defensive struggle as Iowa held Ohio State to just 158 yards of total "O", while generating 214 yards. Penn State is 1-4 SU and ATS the last five meetings with Iowa but are 8-4 ATS the week after a bye. Lat year Iowa won a wild won at Penn State, prevailing 42-35 in OT as +8 point road dogs.

LOUISVILLE (6-1 SU/3-4 ATS)
at EAST CAROLINA (1-6 SU/2-4-1 ATS)
Louisville is off a 47-28 home win over Tulane as -14 point favorites. QB Stefan LeFors completed 16-of-27 passes for 188 yards and RB Eric Shelton rushed for 128 yards on 19 carries and three TD's in the win. The Cards had little trouble moving the ball against the nation's worse "D" as they outgained Tulane in total "O" 500-403, while rushing for nearly 300 yards. The Pirates finally got off the schneid last week in a 38-32 win at Army as -6½ point favorites. QB Desmond Robinson completed 17-of-23 passes for 163 yards and RB Marvin Townes rushed 184 rushing yards and three touchdowns on 39 carries, as East Carolina snapped an eight-game losing streak. The Pirates outgained Army in total "O" 367-323 and had a 35:43 to 24:17 edge in time of possession. The visitor is 5-1 ATS in this series, as is the SU winner. East Carolina is 1-3 ATS the last four meetings with the Cardinals, including a 44-20 loss at Louisville last year as +14 point underdogs.

ARKANSAS (4-2 SU/3-3 ATS)
at MISSISSIPPI (5-2 SU/3-3 ATS)
Arkansas dropped their second straight game last week in a 33-28 home loss to Florida as -5½ point favorites. QB Matt Jones led a furious comeback attempt for Arkansas, which trailed by 26 early in the fourth quarter. Jones threw three late touchdown passes and finished with a career-high 299 yards in the loss. RB Cedric Cobbs had 88 yards and a touchdown on 14 carries for Arkansas, who outgained Florida in total "O" 529-411 and held a 26-19 edge in first downs. Ole Miss comes in off a 43-28 home win over Alabama as -3 point favorites. QB Eli Manning completed 14-of-22 passes for 230 yards and three touchdowns and ran for one more, while Taye Biddle finished with a game-high 78 yards on just two catches for Ole Miss, but both receptions went for touchdowns. RB Tremaine Turner finished with 81 rushing yards on 17 carries for the Rebels, while Ronald McClendon added 79 yards on 12 carries. The Rebels held edges in total "O" (446-364) and rushing yards (216-116). Arkansas is 6-2-1 ATS the last nine meetings with Ole Miss and the favorite in this series is also 8-2-1 ATS the last 11 encounters. However, the home team is 6-3-1 ATS the last ten meetings. Arkansas won last years game 48-28 as -8 point home chalks.

KANSAS (5-2 SU/4-2 ATS)
at KANSAS STATE (5-3 SU/2-4 ATS)
Kansas is off a 28-21 home win over Baylor, but failed to cover as -20 point favorites. QB Bill Whittemore completed 19-of-30 attempts for 252 yards and two TD's in the victory for Kansas; it's fifth in the last six outings. Whittemore's passing scores gave him 15 for the season, establishing a new school mark. The game was closer than expected, but the Jayhawks held edges in total "O" (378-280) and first downs (19-14). Kansas State is off a convincing 49-20 home win over Colorado as -23 point chalks. QB Ell Roberson completed 20-of-28 passes for 242 yards and three touchdowns and ran for a pair as Kansas State snapped a three-game losing skid. Colorado actually outgained the Wildcats in total yardage, 422-384, but Kansas State converted 8-of-12 on third down and scored on all five opportunities in the red zone. Kansas is 0-9 SU and ATS the last nine trips to Manhattan, losing by an average score of 45-9. Last year, the Jayhawks lost 64-0 as +33 point home underdogs.

MEMPHIS (4-3 SU/3-3 ATS)
at TULANE (3-4 SU/2-4 ATS)
Memphis looked good last week in their 45-14 win at Houston as +4 point underdogs. QB Danny Wimprine completed 13-of-25 pass attempts for 228 yards and three touchdowns and RB DeAngelo Williams gained 120 yards on 20 carries, with two TD's in the win for Memphis, which snapped a two-game slide. It was an overall good effort for the Tigers who held edges in total "O" (487-323), first downs (25-19) and time of possession (31:19 to 28:41). Tulane lost their last game at Louisville in a 47-28 setback as +14 point underdogs. RB Mewelde Moore ran 26 times for 123 yards and a touchdown for the Green Wave, who have dropped three in a row. QB J.P. Losman finished 16-of-29 passing for 243 yards and three TD’s, but he was picked off twice in the loss. Roydell Williams wound up with five receptions for 119 yards in the loss for Tulane, who were outgained in total "O" 500-403. Tulane has the worst ranked "D" in the land, allowing almost 500 yards per game. Memphis is 7-2-1 ATS as an away favorite when playing on artificial turf and are 12-2-2 ATS the last 16 meetings with Tulane. Memphis won last years game 38-10 as -7 point home favorites.

SOUTH FLORIDA (4-2 SU/2-2 ATS)
at SO MISSISSIPPI (3-3 SU/3-3 ATS)
South Florida is off a bye week after a 13-10 home loss to TCU two weeks ago as -1½ point home favorites. QB Ronnie Banks had a rough day for the Bulls, who had a three-game winning streak snapped. He finished 11-of-21 for just 69 yards and was sacked seven times. Brian Fisher caught three balls for 31 yards and threw for a touchdown and Clento Crossley ran nine times for 55 yards, but the offense was too little, too late for the Bulls, who had their 21-game home winning streak snapped with the loss. South Florida could only generate 126 yards of total "O" in the game, while surrendering 233 yards to TCU. Southern Miss is also off a bye week after dropping a 17-3 setback at Alabama two weeks ago as +10 point dogs. Alabama ran for 243 yards and passed for just 12 yards. By contrast, Southern Miss rushed for only 17 yards and threw for 244 yards. South Florida is 2-0 ATS the week after a bye and 1-1 SU and 1-0 ATS in two meetings with So Miss. This is a revenger for So Miss, who lost 16-13 at South Florida last year as -3 point road favorites.

SMU (0-7 SU/1-6 ATS)
at TULSA (3-4 SU/4-2 ATS)
SMU was pounded last week in a 45-3 home loss to Boise State as +24 point underdogs. It was a poor effort for the Mustangs, who came into the game as the third-lowest scoring team in Division I-A with a 10.83 ppg average. Running back Keylon Kincade was the only bright spot for the Ponies as he gained 103 yards on 21 carries, while QB Richard Bartel hit 9-of-25 pass attempts for 104 yards and was sacked four times in the setback. SMU was outgained in total "O" 641-214. The Mustangs entered the game averaging just 257 ypg, which ranks 117th out of 117 teams. Tulsa comes off a 28-21 home loss to Nevada last week as -2 point favorites. Tulsa quarterback James Kilian had a rough day as he completed 14-of-32 for 160 yards, was intercepted twice and sacked a couple of times in the loss. RB Uril Parrish finished with 148 yards on 19 carries and three TD's for the Golden Hurricane, who were outgained by only two yards in total "O" (366-364). SMU is 7-1 SU and ATS the last 8 meetings with Tulsa. Tulsa counters with a 4-1 SU and ATS mark in their last 5 home coming games. Last year, SMU won 24-21 as -7 point home favorites.

TEXAS (5-2 SU/4-3 ATS)
at BAYLOR (3-4 SU/4-2 ATS)
The 18th-ranked Longhorns rebounded from their devastating loss to Oklahoma two weeks ago with a 40-21 road win and cover (-19) at Iowa State. RB Cedric Benson ran for 140 yards and three touchdowns and QB's Vince Young and Chance Mock split the quarterbacking duties for Texas with Young connecting on 12-of-16 passes for 156 yards and a touchdown with one interception. Mock was 6-of-9 for 131 yards and a score. Texas outgained Iowa State in total "O" (578-277), first downs (28-16) and time of possession (37:26 to 22:34). Baylor put up a good fight last week at Kansas, losing 28-21 as +20 point underdogs. Bears quarterback Aaron Karas tossed a couple of touchdowns himself and finished 15-of-24 for 175 yards and an interception in the losing effort for Baylor, which suffered its second straight setback. Overall the Bears have dropped 30 consecutive conference road games. Baylor had deficits in total "O" (378-280) and first downs (19-14). Texas is 5-1 ATS the last six meetings with the Bears, outscoring them by an average of 50-6. However, the dog in this series is 14-6 ATS the last 20 meetings. Texas won last years meeting 41-0 as -40 point home chalks.

NOTRE DAME (2-4 SU/1-5 ATS)
at BOSTON COLLEGE (4-3 SU/4-3 ATS)
Notre Dame was pounded at home last week in a 45-14 loss to 5th-ranked USC as +8½ point underdogs. RB Julius Jones carried the ball 18 times for 84 yards and QB Brady Quinn was 15-of-34 for 168 yards and one touchdown in the setback for Notre Dame, which has dropped four of its last five games. The Irish were totally outplayed in the game with deficits in total "O" (554-277) and first downs (29-17). Boston College is off a 39-14 road loss at Syracuse last week as -4 point chalks. Boston College, which had a two-game winning streak snapped, was led by QB Quinton Porter's 20-of-28 passing effort for 249 yards and two touchdowns. Porter also threw two interceptions, while RB Derrick Knight was limited to 51 yards on 19 carries in the running game. BC was outplayed in the game with deficits in total "O" (407-319), first downs (24-16) and time of possession (34:20 to 25:40). Notre Dame comes in 7-5 SU but only 4-8 ATS the last 12 meetings with BC and are just 2-7 ATS their last 9 games played on fake grass. Last year, BC won 14-7 at Notre Dame as +9 point underdogs.

TENNESSEE (4-2 SU/1-5 ATS)
at ALABAMA (3-5 SU/3-5 ATS)
The reeling Vols had a much needed bye last week after getting embarrassed at home two weeks ago in a 41-14 loss to 5th-ranked Georgia as +1½ point dogs. QB Casey Clausen finished just 11-of-23 passing for 165 yards and touchdown with two costly third-quarter interceptions for the Volunteers, who suffered their worst home loss since a 31-0 setback to Florida in 1994. The Vols were trailing 13-7 with less than a minute to go in the first half and were in a position to score on the Georgia one-yard line. However, Tennessee fumbled and Georgia's Sean Jones returned it for a TD that seemed to break Tennessee's back. It was a poor effort by the Vols, who were outgained in total "O" (414-248) and had deficits in first downs (19-15) and time of possession (36:19 to 23:41). Alabama continued to struggle last week in a 43-28 loss at Mississippi as +3 point underdogs. QB Brodie Croyle threw 248 yards on 21-of-29 passing for Alabama, with two touchdowns and two interceptions. Shaud Williams added two scores and 63 rushing yards in the loss, which was the fourth in five outings for the Crimson Tide. Alabama had deficits in total "O" (446-364) and rushing yards (216-116). Tennessee is 7-3-1 SU and 7-4 ATS the last 11 meetings with the Tide and are playing with revenge after last years 34-14 home loss to Alabama as -2 point favorites. Alabama counters with an 8-4 ATS mark the week before a bye.

OKLAHOMA STATE (6-1 SU/4-2 ATS)
at TEXAS A&M (3-4 SU/1-6 ATS)
Oklahoma State is off a wild 51-49 home win over Texas Tech, but failed to cover as -5 point chalks. QB Josh Fields threw for 320 yards and a touchdown on 18-of-29 passing and RB Tatum Bell rushed for 238 yards and three touchdowns on 28 carries in the win for Oklahoma State. The Cowboys led 48-21 heading into the 4th quarter and had to hold on for the narrow win as they were outscored 28-3 in the final stanza. It was an offensive shootout as Okie State outgained Tech in total "O" by a slight margin (673-661). Texas A&M was pounded at Nebraska last week in a 48-12 loss at +10 point underdogs. QB Reggie McNeal led Texas A&M with 69 yards rushing, but he was just 7-of-19 for 77 yards through the air. It was a dismal effort for the Aggies who had deficits in total "O" (384-244), first downs (21-15) and time of possession (33:59 to 26:01). The Huskers gained 320 yards on the ground, while Texas A&M compiled 134 rushing yards. Oklahoma State is 6-2-1 ATS the week prior to playing Oklahoma, but the home team in this series is 4-0 ATS the last four meetings. Oklahoma State won last years matchup 28-23 as +3½ point home dogs.

OKLAHOMA (7-0 SU/4-3 ATS)
at COLORADO (3-4 SU/1-6 ATS)
The number-one ranked Sooners looked a little flat last week in a 34-13 home win over Missouri as -26½ point chalks. QB Jason White completed 20-of-34 passes for 278 yards and two TD's for Oklahoma, who was coming off a huge 65-13 win over Texas the previous week. White has 22 touchdown passes and only four interceptions this year. The Sooners dominated the game with edges in total "O" (424-266), first downs (20-14) and return yards (121-24). Colorado continued to flounder last week in a 49-20 loss at Kansas State as +23 point underdogs. Colorado QB Joel Klatt hit on 29-of-45 attempts for 290 yards and one score, but was also intercepted once as the Buffs fell for the fourth time in the last five outings. Colorado actually outgained the Wildcats in total yardage, 422-384, but Kansas State converted 8-of-12 on third down and scored on all five opportunities in the red zone. Oklahoma is 3-8-1 SU and 4-8 ATS the last 12 meetings with the Buffs as well as 0-3-1 SU and 1-3 ATS the last four visits to Boulder. Colorado is 3-6 ATS in their last nine homecoming games and are playing with double revenge after losing twice to the Sooners last year SU and ATS (one regular season meeting and Big 12 Championship game).

STANFORD (2-3 SU/4-1 ATS)
at OREGON (4-3 SU/3-4 ATS)
Stanford is off a 24-14 home loss to Washington State as +12 point underdogs. Trent Edwards started the game at quarterback for Stanford and completed only 11-of-28 passes for 122 yards with an interception. He left the contest in the third quarter with a shoulder injury and Chris Lewis finished by throwing for 95 yards on 9-of-22 passing with a touchdown and an interception. The Cardinal had a tough time moving the ball on the ground, finishing with just 42 yards on 34 attempts as they dropped their third straight game. For the game, Stanford was outgained in total "O" (401-259). The floundering Ducks are off a bye week after dropping a 59-14 loss at Arizona State as -1 point road chalks. QB Jason Fife completed only 7-of-19 passes for 101 yards and a touchdown in defeat for Oregon, which has suffered three straight defeats. Fife also ran for 66 yards and a touchdown on eight carries. It was another anemic performance for Oregon, who had deficits in total "O" (496-286), first downs (24-15) and time of possession (35:56 to 24:04). The visitor in this series in 7-3 ATS the last ten meetings. Oregon comes in 10-3 ATS after a bye week, but are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 homecoming games. Oregon won last years game 41-14 as -14 point favorites.

ARIZONA (1-6 SU/4-3 ATS)
at CALIFORNIA (3-5 SU/4-3-1 ATS)
Arizona comes in off a bye week after a tough 24-21 home loss to UCLA as +16 point underdogs. Arizona was led by RB Clarence Farmer, who rushed for a game-high 122 yards on 25 carries and had three catches for 32 yards and a touchdown. QB Nic Costa completed just 4-of-11 pass attempts, but he was able to throw for 56 yards and two touchdowns. It was a good effort by the Wildcats, who held edges in total "O"(519-333), first downs (21-16) and rushing yards (276-103). Cal is off a gut-wrenching 23-20 loss in OT at UCLA last week. The line opened UCLA -5½, but was bet down to -2½ by game-time, so whether they officially covered or not is debatable. QB Aaron Rodgers had an up and down game for the Bears, as he completed 28-of-41 passes for 322 yards and a score, but he was also sacked five times in the losing effort, the team's second in a row. UCLA won the game despite just 55 yards rushing on 39 attempts and 228 yards of total offense overall, compared to 397 yards for the Bears. Arizona is 21-8-1 ATS the week after a bye, but is just 4-11 ATS the last 15 meetings with the Bears. Arizona pulled an upset last year, winning 52-41 at Cal as +16 point underdogs.

NORTHERN ILLINOIS (7-0 SU/4-2 ATS)
at BOWLING GREEN (6-1 SU/3-2 ATS)
Northern Illinois cruised to an easy 37-10 home win over Western Michigan as -11½ point favorites. QB Josh Haldi completed 19-of-27 passes for 272 yards and three touchdowns and RB Michael Turner finished with 173 yards on 35 carries in the win for the Huskies. Northern Illinois dominated the game with edges in total "O" (514-227), first downs (29-11) and time of possession (39:02 to 20:58). Northern Illinois also dominated the rushing game, gaining 227 yards on the ground. Western Michigan wound up with minus-2 net rushing yards. Bowling Green is off a 33-20 win at Eastern Michigan last week as -28 point favorites. QB Josh Harris completed 17-of-25 passes for 187 yards and ran for three touchdowns in the win. Harris also carried the ball 12 times for 96 yards for the Falcons third consecutive win. Bowling Green outgained the Eagles 492-314 and held Eastern Michigan to just 3-of-14 on third-down conversions. Northern Illinois is only 1-2 SU and ATS versus BG since joining the MAC, but won last years meeting 26-17 as +3½ point home dogs.

ARMY (0-7 SU/3-3-1 ATS)
at CINCINNATI (3-3 SU/3-3 ATS)
Army lost its ninth straight game dating back to last season as they fell to East Carolina as +6½ point home underdogs. RB Carlton Jones rushed for 100 yards and two touchdowns on 21 carries, while quarterback Zac Dahman completed 19-of-31 pass attempts for 235 yards with one touchdown and two interceptions in the loss for the Black Knights. The Pirates outgained Army in total "O" 367-323 and had a 35:43 to 24:17 edge in time of possession. Cincinnati comes in off a bye week after a disappointing 31-14 loss at UAB as -5½ point road chalks. QB Gino Guidugli completed 21-of-43 pass attempts for 219 yards in the loss for Cincinnati, while WR Bill Poland had five receptions for 72 yards. The Bearcats were outgained in total "O" 382-319 and had a 34:53 to 25:07 deficit in time of possession. Army is 1-2 SU and 3-0 ATS in three meetings with Cincy. Last meeting was in 2001, with Cincinnati winning 24-21 as -5 point home favorites.

C MICHIGAN (2-5 SU/2-3 ATS)
at CENTRAL FLORIDA (2-5 SU/0-6 ATS)
Central Michigan dropped a 31-13 home decision to Toledo last week as +15 point underdogs. QB Grant Arnoldink finished just 9-of-20 for 103 yards and touchdown, as the Chippewas were handed their fourth consecutive loss. Central Michigan was totally dominated in the game with deficits in total "O" (643-313), first downs (35-15) and time of possession (38:46 to 21:14). UCF dropped a 38-24 decision at Akron last week as +8½ point underdogs. The Golden Knights were led by QB Ryan Schneider who completed 25-of-34 passes for 259 yards and two TD's, but he was also picked off twice and sacked twice as UCF fell for the second straight game and the fourth time in the last five outings overall. UCF was dominated in the game with deficits in total "O" (504-317), first downs (30-15) and time of possession (36:19 to 23:41). Central Michigan is just 6-16 ATS as an away underdog. UCF comes in 8-0 SU and 3-2 ATS in their last 8 homecoming games.

LOUISIANA TECH (3-4 SU/3-3-1 ATS)
at NEVADA (5-2 SU/5-1 ATS)
La Tech fell at home last week in a 44-41 loss to Hawaii as +1½ point underdogs. QB Luke McCown completed 31-of-48 for 405 yards and three scores, but he was sacked five times and intercepted once in the loss. RB Ryan Moats had an amazing 267 yards rushing on 34 attempts. It was an offensive shootout with La Tech gaining 623 yards of total "O" compared to 638 for Hawaii. The Bulldogs lost despite edges in first downs (34-28) and time of possession (37:02 to 22:58). Nevada did not suffer a letdown a week after beating Washington, as they went on the road a came away with a 28-21 win at Tulsa as +2 point underdogs. RB Chance Kretschmer carried the ball 31 times for 171 yards and a pair of touchdowns in leading the Wolf Pack to the win. Kretschmer, the nation's leading rusher as a freshman two seasons ago, helped the Pack generate 223 yards on the ground in posting their second straight win. Statistically it was a close game, with Nevada holding a two yard edge in total "O" (366-364). Louisiana Tech is 0-3 ATS versus Nevada. with an average combined score of 93 points per game. Last year, La Tech won 50-47 as -4½ point home chalks.

OREGON STATE (5-2 SU/2-4 ATS)
at WASH STATE (6-1 SU/3-4 ATS)
Oregon State looked bad last week in a 38-17 home loss to Washington as -10 point favorites. QB Derek Anderson threw for 344 yards and a touchdown for the Beavers, but was intercepted three times and sacked five times. RB Steven Jackson, who entered the game leading the Pac-10 with an average of 146.2 yards rushing, was held to only 49 yards on 22 attempts. The Beavers finished with only 46 yards on 33 rushes, but outgained Washington in total "O" 390-374. However, the Beavers self destructed with four turnovers and 15 penalties for 141 yards. Washington State comes in off a 24-14 win at Stanford last week as -12 point favorites. QB Matt Kegel completed 26-of-47 passes for 331 yards and three touchdowns, leading the 6th-ranked Cougars to their fifth straight win since an overtime loss at Notre Dame. Chris Jordan caught five passes for 97 yards and two touchdowns, while Devard Darling hauled in five passes for 82 yards in the victory. Washington State outgained Stanford in total "O" (401-259) and held the Cardinal to just 42 rushing yards. Oregon State has not fared well when traveling to Washington State as they are just 1-5 SU and 2-4 ATS. The favorite has been the way to go in this series as the chalk is 9-2 ATS the last 11 meetings.

MISSISSIPPI STATE (2-5 SU/2-5 ATS)
at KENTUCKY (3-4 SU/5-1 ATS)
Mississippi State continued to reel last week in a 45-13 loss at Auburn as +21 point road 'dogs. RB Nick Turner ran for 126 yards and a touchdown on 13 carries in the loss for Mississippi State, which had won two straight after opening the season with four consecutive losses. QB Kevin Fant had just 109 yards on 10-of-25 passes with an interception and his backup Kyle York was 5-for-5 for 87 yards with a touchdown pass. Auburn outgained the Bulldogs in total "O" 553-294 and had edges in first downs (25-15) and time of possession (33:37 to 26:23). Kentucky had a relatively easy time last week in a 35-14 home win over Ohio as -13 point favorites. Quarterbacks Jared Lorenzen and Shane Boyd combined to throw three touchdowns in win for the Wildcats. Lorenzen, originally listed as probable for the contest after having suffered a concussion, hit 8-of-14 for 90 yards and a pair of scores, but was pulled in the second period after losing a couple of fumbles. Boyd then stepped in and completed 3-of-9 for 54 yards and a touchdown, while also rushing for a pair of scores in the win. Kentucky outgained Ohio in total "O" 322-295 and forced three turnovers (2 fumbles, one interception). Mississippi State is 6-3 ATS on the road the week before a bye and the visitor is 5-0 ATS the last 5 meetings between these two teams. Kentucky is just 3-6 ATS in the second game of back-to-back home affairs. Kentucky won last years meeting in Starkville, 45-24, as -5 point road chalks.

NEW MEXICO (4-3 SU/3-3 ATS)
at UTAH (6-1 SU/7-0 ATS)
New Mexico is off a 30-7 win and cover (-2) at San Diego State last week. RB DonTrell Moore gained 89 yards on 15 carries and ran for two touchdowns and Billy Strother returned a blocked punt for a score to lead New Mexico to the win. The Lobos used three San Diego State miscues to account for 17 points, including Strother's 14-yard return of a blocked punt to give New Mexico a 14-0 lead in the second quarter. New Mexico was outgained in total "O" 393-326 and had a 20-14 deficit in first downs, but capitalized on 6 Aztec turnovers (1 fumble, 5 interceptions). Utah continued to roll along last week in a 28-10 win at UNLV as -1½ point favorites. RB Brandon Warfield scored a pair of TD's as he rushed for 96 yards on 26 carries and QB Alex Smith finished the day 15-of-23 for 204 yards passing and also led the squad with 97 yards rushing on 19 carries as the Utes picked up their fifth straight win. Utah dominated the game with edges in total "O" (441-312), first downs (23-16) and time of possession (36:43 to 23:17). New Mexico is 2-6 ATS the last 8 meetings with the Utes, but are 13-7 ATS in their second straight road game. Utah won last years game 42-35 in double OT as -6½ point road chalks.

BYU (3-5 SU/4-4 ATS)
at UNLV (4-3 SU/3-4 ATS)
BYU looked lethargic last week in a 13-10 loss at Wyoming as -2 point road favorites. QB Matt Berry returned to the lineup by completing 21-of-34 passes for 225 yards, but it wasn't enough to keep the team from their second consecutive loss. BYU outgained Wyoming in total "O" 328-225, but was flagged with 10 penalties for 56 yards. UNLV did not look good last week in a 28-10 home loss to Utah as +1½ point underdogs. QB Kurt Nantkes completed 13-of-31 passes for 227 yards and a score, but it wasn't enough as the Rebels lost for the second straight week and for the eighth time in nine tries all-time versus the Utes. RB Larry Croom rushed for 114 yards on 21 attempts in the losing effort for UNLV, who had deficits in total "O" (441-312), first downs (23-16) and time of possession (36:43 to 23:17). BYU is 5-1 SU, but only 1-5 ATS the last six meetings with UNLV, but lost last years game 24-3 as -10 point home favorites. UNLV comes into this one on a 3-11 ATS run in their last 14 home games.

RICE 1-5 SU/2-3-1 ATS)
at FRESNO STATE (3-4 SU/3-2-1 ATS)
Rice continued to have problems last week in a 38-6 home loss to Navy as +3 point underdogs. The Owls, who won their only game of the season two weeks ago against San Jose State, passed for just 17 yards on six completions, a new season low for the squad after posting just 27 yards against Texas last month. However, as the sixth-best rushing team in the country heading into the game with an average of 240 ypg, the Owls ran the ball 47 times for 206 yards, but ended the game with deficits in total "O" (442-223), first downs (22-14) and time of possession (35:28 to 24:32). Fresno State comes in off a bye week after a 55-28 loss at Hawaii two weeks ago as +4 point road dogs. The Bulldogs were led by QB Paul Pinegar, as he threw for 242 yards and three touchdowns on 25-of-38 passing. Pinegar, who made his first start of the season since returning from an injury that has kept him sidelined for part of the year, was also sacked five times. Fresno was dominated in the game with deficits in total "O" (550-382) and first downs (32-20). Rice is 0-4 ATS in their last four games played in the state of California and 0-4 SU the last four meetings with Fresno and the home team is also 4-0 ATS. Fresno won last years meeting 31-28 as -7 point road chalks.

AUBURN (5-2 SU/4-2 ATS)
at LSU (6-1 SU/5-1 ATS)
Auburn has an easy time at home last week in a 45-13 win and cover (-21) over hapless Mississippi State. RB Carnell "Cadillac" Williams rushed for 168 yards and a school-record six touchdowns and Brandon Jacobs added 186 rushing yards on 30 carries in the Auburn victory. QB Jason Campbell completed 11-of-18 passes for 132 yards in the win. The Tigers finished with 412 total yards on the ground as they won their fifth straight game. Auburn outgained the Bulldogs in total "O" 553-294 and had edges in first downs (25-15) and time of possession (33:37 to 26:23). Auburn's defense was brilliant once again, as it has allowed just 47 points in its last five games. The Tigers allowed only a field goal during a 10-3 win at Arkansas the previous week. LSU is off a 33-7 win and cover (-5) at South Carolina last week. QB Matt Mauck completed 24-of-30 passes for 199 yards and two TD's and Alley Broussard had 108 rushing yards on 19 carries for the Tigers, who dominated the game with edges in total "O" (486-272), first downs (29-10) and time of possession ( 41:43 to 18:17). Auburn is 9-4 SU but only 5-8 ATS the last 13 meetings with LSU and the home team is 3-0 SU and ATS the last three meetings. Auburn won last years game 31-7 as +3½ point home dogs, pushing the underdog to 9-4 ATS in the series.

TCU (7-0 SU/2-5 ATS)
at HOUSTON (5-2 SU/4-2-1 ATS)
The 13th-ranke3d Horned Frogs survived a scare last week in a 27-24 home win over UAB as -12 point favorites. QB Tye Gunn threw for just 136 yards on 14-of-26 passing with an interception for TCU, while RB Lonta Hobbs ran for a pair of touchdowns and RB Robert Merrill rushed for 85 yards on 16 carries for the Horned Frogs, whose eight-game winning streak dating back to last season ties them with Miami-Florida for the longest active streak in the nation. TCU outgained UAB in total "O" 405-393 and had edges in first downs (23-14) and time of possession (34:38 to 25:22). Houston was shell-shocked last week in a 45-14 home loss to Memphis as -4 point favorites. The quarterback combination of Kevin Kolb and Blade Bassler completed 16-of-28 for 163 yards and a pair of touchdowns, but Kolb was sacked three times and intercepted once in the setback for Houston, which had its four-game win streak broken. Houston was down 45-0 at one point and had deficits in total "O" (487-323), first downs (25-19) and time of possession (31:19 to 28:41). TCU is 9-5 SU and 11-3 ATS the last 14 meetings with Houston and are 7-1 ATS the last eight trips to Houston. TCU won last years meeting 34-17 as -10½ point home favorites.

SAN JOSE STATE (2-4 SU/2-3-1 ATS)
at BOISE STATE (6-1 SU/2-4 ATS)
San Jose State had a bye last week after a 31-14 home win and cover (-8) over SMU two weeks ago. QB Scott Rislov threw for 294 yards and two scores on 23-of-41 passing, while RB Damarcus Ingram led the Spartans on the ground, rushing for a game-high 104 yards and a score on 27 carries. Ingram also hauled in a team-high six catches for 61 yards, while Leon Pinky caught both of Rislov's touchdown passes and had three catches for 36 yards. San Jose State dominated the game with edges in total "O" (448-267), first downs (22-11) and time of possession (36:35 to 23:25). Boise State looked like their old selves last week in a 45-3 romper at SMU, easily covering as -24 point road chalks. QB Ryan Dinwiddie completed 27-of-35 passes for 509 yards and four TD's in the easy win. Boise State dominated the game with edges in total "O" (641-214) and first downs (26-14). San Jose State is 0-2 SU and ATS in two recent meetings with Boise State, getting outscored 101-14. Last year Boise State won 45-8 as -16½ point road favorites.

WYOMING (3-4 SU/4-2 ATS)
at SAN DIEGO STATE (3-5 SU/2-4 ATS)
Wyoming pulled off the mild upset last week in a 13-10 home win over BYU as +2 point underdogs. QB Casey Bramlet had an up and down game as he completed 20-of-32 passes for 140 yards, but was sacked three times and intercepted twice in the victory. It was a defensive battle, as the Cowboys gained just 225 yards on offense, while allowing BYU 328 yards of total "O". The Aztec's looked anemic in their 30-7 home loss to New Mexico as +2 point underdogs. San Diego State gained only 39 yards rushing and could not overcome four interceptions thrown by Adam Hall, including two at the New Mexico goal line. Hall finished 25-of-48 for 291 yards as the Aztec's outgained the Lobos in total "O" 393-326, but could not overcome 6 turnovers (1 fumble, 5 interceptions). Wyoming is 1-4-1 ATS the last six meetings with the Aztec's and the home team in this series is 5-2-1 ATS the last 8 meetings. San Diego State won last years game 24-20 as -4 point road favorites.

UTEP (2-5 SU/3-2 ATS)
at HAWAII (4-3 SU/2-4 ATS)
The Miners are off a bye week after a tough 38-35 home loss to La Tech two weeks ago as +15 point underdogs. QB Orlando Cruz paced the Miners in defeat, throwing for 285 yards on 18-of-33 passing. Cruz did the most damage on the ground, as he scored all three of his touchdowns rushing the ball. Howard Jackson gained a game-high 141 yards on 14 carries, while also running for two scores. UTEP lost despite a 535-493 edge in total "O" and a 250-165 edge in rushing. Hawaii is of a wild 44-41 win at La Tech last week as -1½ point road chalks. QB Timmy Chang finished the day 33-of-46 for 534 yards and five touchdowns in the win for the Warriors. who outgained La Tech in total "O" 638-623 but had deficits in first downs (34-28) and time of possession (37:02 to 22:58). UTEP is 4-8 ATS the week after a bye and 0-4 SU and ATS their last four trips to the Islands. Hawaii won last years meeting 31-6 as -19 point road favorites. The home team in this series is also 7-1 ATS the last 8 encounters.

ARIZONA STATE (4-3 SU/1-5 ATS)
at UCLA (5-2 SU/3-3-1 ATS)
The Sun Devils had a close call last week in a 33-31 road win at North Carolina as -7 point favorites. QB Andrew Walter completed 34-of-58 passes for 408 yards and Derek Hagan finished with 11 receptions for 185 yards. Walter tossed a five-yard touchdown pass to Skyler Fulton with no time remaining to give ASU the dramatic win. Despite the close score, Arizona State held significant edges in total "O" (603-320) and first downs (29-18). UCLA is off a thrilling 23-20 OT win at home over Cal last week. The line opened UCLA -5½, but was bet down to -2½ by game-time, so whether they officially covered or not is debatable. QB Drew Olson completed 9-of-20 passes for 173 yards and a two TD's as the Bruins won their fourth straight. UCLA won the game despite just 55 yards rushing on 39 attempts and 228 yards of total offense overall, compared to 397 yards for the Bears. Arizona State has done well against UCLA, going 7-1-1 ATS the last nine meetings and are 6-1 ATS in the second game of back-to-back road affairs. UCLA comes in 6-10-1 ATS at home prior to a two game or more road trip.

ADDED GAMES

AKRON (5-3 SU/3-3 ATS)
at CONNECTICUT (5-3 SU/4-3 ATS)
Akron comes in off a 38-24 home win over Central Florida as -8 point favorites. QB Charlie Frye completed 27-of-38 passes for 307 yards and RB Bobby Hendry rushed for 87 yards and a pair of touchdowns in leading the Zips to the win. It was a dominant effort by Akron, who outgained UCF in total "O" 504-317 and had edges in first downs (30-15) and time of possession (36:19 to 23:41). Connecticut had a tougher time than expected last week in a 34-31 win at Kent State as -13 point road chalks. QB Dan Orlovsky completed 28-of-51 passes for 293 yards and three scores in the victory for the Huskies, their second win in the last three weeks. UConn posted 515 yards of total offense while allowing the Flashes to generate 319 yards. Kent State was held to just 3-of-13 on third down in the loss. UConn won the only previous meeting in 2000, a 38-35 victory as +22 point road underdogs. UConn is now 20-8 ATS run in their last 28 games, overall.

ARKANSAS STATE (3-4 SU/1-4 ATS)
at UTAH STATE (1-6 SU/4-3 ATS)
Arkansas State is off a bye week after dropping a 55-0 decision at Ole Miss two weeks ago as +25½ point underdogs. Arkansas State was led by quarterback Elliott Jacobs who completed 14-of 29 passes for 143 yards and an interception. Mike Cox grabbed a team-high six balls for 63 yards in the losing effort. Arkansas State was totally outclassed in the game with deficits in total "O" (614-237) and first downs (34-14). Utah State fell to 1-6 on the season in a 37-27 loss at North Texas State, but covered as +16 point underdogs. QB Travis Cox completed 26-of-38 passes for 230 yards and three scores, but he was knocked around in the pocket, leading to five sacks and an interception in the losing effort. Utah State was outgained in total "O" 318-308 yards and just converted just 4-of-13 on third down. Arkansas State is just 2-4 ATS in their first conference road game, while Utah State comes in 7-2 ATS in the first of two or more home games.

IDAHO (1-7 SU/3-3 ATS)
at UL-LAFAYETTE (1-7 SU/3-4-1 ATS)
Idaho is off a 28-21 OT loss to Middle Tenn State last week as +2½ point home underdogs. QB Quarterback Brian Lindgren completed 22-of-32 passes for 296 yards and a pair of scores in the seventh loss of the season for the Vandals. Idaho actually led 21-10 in the third quarter before falling apart. MTSU finished the day with 520 yards of total offense, compared to 391 for the Vandals. UL-Lafayette finally got in the win column with a 26-24 home win over New Mexico State as +7 point underdogs. QB Jerry Babb had 63 rushing yards and two scores on 11 carries. He also threw for 177 yards, a touchdown, and two interceptions on 17-of-29 pass attempts. Frederick Stamps added 64 yards and a score on six receptions for UL-Lafayette, which snapped a nine-game losing streak dating back to last season. Lafayette was outgained in total "O" 438-380 in the game. Idaho is 0-2 SU and ATS in two meetings with Lafayette and 2-4 ATS the week before a bye. Lafayette won last years meeting 31-28 as +1 point home dogs, rallying from a 28-17 deficit to post the win.

NORTH TEXAS (4-3 SU/3-4 ATS)
at MID TENNESSEE STATE (2-5 SU/4-2 ATS)
North Texas State is off a 37-27 home win over Utah State as -16 point favorites. QB Scott Hall completed 8-of-12 pass attempts for 109 yards and a pair of scores and RB Patrick Cobbs rushed for 205 yards and three TD's in the third straight win for the Mean Green. North Texas generated 318 yards of total offense while holding Utah State to 308 yards and just 4-of-13 on third down. Middle Tenn State is off a 28-21 OT win at Idaho last week as -2½ point favorites. QB Andrico Hines scored the last two TD's of the game, including the game-winner in overtime in the thrilling win. Hines, who did not start the contest because of a back injury suffered two weeks ago against Temple, entered in the second quarter and finished with 61 yards rushing on 14 attempts, including a one-yard plunge in overtime to give the Blue Raiders their second straight win after dropping the first five outings of the campaign. Hines also completed 11-of-19 for 227 yards in relief of Clint Marks who completed 7-of-10 for 71 yards and an interception. MTSU finished the day with 520 yards of total offense, compared to 391 for the Vandals. North Texas is 2-0 SU and ATS in two recent meetings with the Blue Raiders, winning last year 30-20 as -2 point road favorites and 24-21 as +14 point home dogs in 2000.

NEW MEXICO STATE (1-6 SU/2-4 ATS)
at UL-MONROE (1-6 SU/2-3 ATS)
New Mexico State comes in off a 26-24 road loss at UL-Lafayette as -7 point favorites in a Thursday Night game. QB Paul Dombrowski completed 13-of-26 passes for 212 yards, a touchdown, and two interceptions. He also added 18 yards and score on 13 carries. Eric Higgins led the team with 139 rushing yards and a touchdown on 20 carries for New Mexico State, which has now dropped five consecutive games. New Mexico State had a balanced attack with 226 rushing yards and 212 passing yards for a total of 438 yards, while allowing Lafayette 380 yards of offense. UL-Monroe had a bye last week after posting their first win of the season in a 45-42 road win at UL-Lafayette as +3 point underdogs. Kevin Payne rushed for 143 yards and one score on 28 carries, while also passing for a touchdown for UL-Monroe, while QB Steven Jyles led the passing attack with 161 yards and one score on 16-of-25 pass attempts. Monroe compiled 537 yards of total "O" in the game compared to 524 yards for Lafayette and held a 34:53 to 25:07 edge in time of possession. New Mexico State is only 2-4 ATS in the third game of a three game road trip, but the visitor is 2-0 ATS the last two meetings between these two teams. UL-Monroe is 3-1 SU and ATS as a home 'dog, with three outright wins.


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